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ToggleHappy Ram Navami! The Indian stock markets are closed today, March 26, 2026 — a welcome pause for investors to reflect, recharge, and reconnect with what truly matters: not short-term noise, but long-term wealth creation through disciplined investing. While you celebrate the festival, let us walk you through yesterday’s remarkable market session and what it means for your portfolio when trading resumes on Friday.
Wednesday’s session was electric. The BSE Sensex surged 1,205 points (+1.63%) to close at 75,273 while the Nifty 50 jumped 394 points (+1.72%) to settle at 23,306 — marking the second straight session of strong gains. Cumulatively over two days, the Sensex has recovered a stunning 2,577 points. The broader market was even more enthusiastic: the Nifty Midcap 100 rose 2.30% and the Nifty Smallcap index was up 2.59%, signalling renewed risk appetite across the board.
Top performers included quality blue-chip names: Titan Company, UltraTech Cement, Larsen & Toubro, and Bajaj Finance, each gaining more than 4%. The rally was broad-based, which in technical analysis terms signals genuine buying conviction rather than speculative froth in a handful of stocks.
To understand yesterday’s rally, we must understand the crisis it was responding to. Since late February 2026, the world has been rocked by a geopolitical earthquake: the United States and Israel launched joint air strikes on Iran on February 28. Brent crude, which is the global benchmark for oil prices, surged from around $85 to an intraday peak of $113+ per barrel. For a net oil importer like India, this was catastrophic news — higher crude means higher inflation, wider current account deficit, and a weaker rupee.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) called it “the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market” as flows through the Strait of Hormuz — a critical chokepoint for 20 million barrels per day — collapsed to a trickle. Indian markets fell sharply through much of March as FIIs pulled out money and global risk sentiment deteriorated.
Then came the pivot. On March 23, US President Donald Trump announced that the United States had spoken to Iran about a possible end to the war and withdrew his 48-hour ultimatum. Markets roared back. Brent crude eased from $113 to around $100 a barrel — still elevated, but meaningfully below the panic levels. Global equities rallied, and India followed suit with two back-to-back strong sessions.
On the institutional flow front, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) bought a net ₹5,430 crore on March 25 — a powerful vote of confidence in Indian equities from domestic mutual funds and insurance companies. Meanwhile, FIIs were net sellers of ₹1,805 crore, continuing their cautious stance toward emerging markets. The strength of DII buying is what truly drove the recovery, and it reflects the structural depth that India’s investor base has developed through systematic SIP investing.
Here is the hard truth that most retail investors discover too late: news-driven market moves are almost always noise for long-term investors. The US-Iran situation created fear; fear created selling; selling created opportunity. This is not a new pattern — it has repeated itself through every geopolitical crisis in market history.
Consider this: when markets fell sharply on Iran fears in early March, TV channels were showing red tickers and “experts” were predicting doom. Panic sellers exited quality companies at a discount. And then, in two sessions, the market recovered. Those who panicked locked in losses. Those who stayed invested — or better yet, added to quality positions — are sitting on gains.
But here is also the caution for Friday: GIFT Nifty on March 26 is indicating a negative start of about 160 points (-0.69%) for the next session. Why? Because Iran has officially ruled out direct talks with the US, injecting fresh uncertainty into the peace process. Crude oil prices may spike again. Volatility is not over.
For the long-term value investor, this is irrelevant. What matters is: is the business I own growing profitably? Is the management honest and capable? Is the industry growing? If yes, a 1% or 2% daily swing is simply the price of admission to extraordinary long-term wealth creation.
Benjamin Graham, the father of value investing, had a metaphor for exactly this situation. He called it “Mr. Market” — an imaginary business partner who shows up every day with a new price for your share of the business. Some days Mr. Market is euphoric and quotes a high price. Other days he is terrified and quotes a low price. Graham’s advice: let him serve you, not instruct you.
Warren Buffett distilled this into his most famous quote: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” When the Iran crisis sent markets crashing, fear was at its peak. That was your opportunity — if you had done your homework on quality businesses.
As Buffett also wisely noted: “The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.” The investors who panic-sold quality stocks during the Iran-driven correction have transferred wealth to disciplined, patient investors who held — or bought more. Don’t be the impatient one. This Ram Navami, let patience be your most valuable asset.
Titan Biotech Ltd — the company that Manish Goel identified at approximately ₹130 and shared with 23 of India’s top investors in late 2024 — continued its remarkable journey even as markets gyrated on geopolitical fears. The stock hit an all-time high on March 9, 2026 and has delivered an extraordinary 326% return over one year.
The business fundamentals tell the real story: Titan Biotech recently reported its highest-ever quarterly net sales of ₹56.51 crores and robust profit growth. While market participants were watching NIFTY oscillate on US-Iran headlines, Titan Biotech’s management was simply executing — growing revenues, expanding margins, and building a business that will compound wealth for patient shareholders for years to come.
This is the power of identifying quality compounders early. Not timing the market — but time IN the market with the right businesses. The 10-year return of 4,409% dwarfs the Sensex’s 209% over the same period. That is the difference between speculating and value investing.
When trading resumes on Friday, keep an eye on the following:
Crude Oil Prices: With Iran rejecting direct talks, Brent crude could test $100 again or push higher. Watch for this — it directly impacts India’s inflation trajectory, RBI’s rate decisions, and oil marketing companies like HPCL, BPCL, and IOC.
FII Flows: Foreign investors have been persistent net sellers through the Iran crisis. Watch whether they begin covering short positions or continue selling. A turnaround in FII flows would significantly accelerate the market recovery. DIIs have been the heroes of this recovery — their systematic buying through SIPs is providing a floor to the market.
Corporate Developments: Infosys announced the acquisition of two US-based firms — Optimum Healthcare IT and Stratus — in deals worth up to $560 million, signalling IT sector confidence. HFCL approved a ₹580 crore capex for a new preform manufacturing facility. These are the kinds of long-term business decisions that drive sustainable value creation.
Technical Levels: For Nifty 50, the upside target is the 23,600–23,800 zone, while the immediate support sits at the 22,600–23,000 band. A dip toward support is not a signal to sell — it is a potential opportunity to add quality.
Upcoming Holidays: Be aware that markets will be closed again on March 31 (Mahavir Jayanti) and April 3 (Good Friday), giving very few trading sessions in the next two weeks. Plan accordingly.
1. Do NOT panic-sell quality holdings. If you own fundamentally strong companies with growing revenues, honest management, and a clear competitive moat, short-term geopolitical noise is irrelevant. Stay the course.
2. Use dips as accumulation opportunities. If Nifty dips to 22,600–23,000 when markets reopen on Friday, that is not a crisis — that is a potential buying opportunity in quality stocks. The market is essentially offering you a discount sale on good businesses.
3. Keep SIPs running — always. India’s DII strength is built entirely on the disciplined SIP investor who contributes every month regardless of market levels. This is systematized value investing at scale. Don’t stop your SIP because the market is volatile — that defeats the entire purpose of SIP averaging.
4. Stay completely away from F&O. The derivatives market is where retail wealth goes to die. Options decay relentlessly. During volatile geopolitical periods, unexpected overnight moves can wipe out F&O positions in a single session. This is gambling with extra steps — not investing. The only proven path to wealth creation in equities is buying quality businesses and holding them for the long term.
5. Focus on business fundamentals, not daily price movements. Ask yourself: has the Iran crisis changed the business model of the companies you own? Has it reduced the demand for products or services they provide? For most quality companies, the answer is no. The business keeps growing; it is only the quoted market price that fluctuates.
Manish Goel has been educating 200 million Indian stock market investors through in-depth blogs and video courses covering: Coffee Can Investing, Economic Moats, ROCE, Piotroski F-Score, Benjamin Graham’s principles, Peter Lynch’s frameworks, and much more.
Disclaimer: This market commentary is published by Manish Goel at multibaggershares.com for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice, and no specific stock is being recommended for purchase or sale. All investments in the stock market carry risk. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before making investment decisions. The views expressed here are for educational and informational purposes only.
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