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Why I Bought This Multibagger Maithan Alloys with a 29x Gain rs 33 → Rs 965 in a Gold bordered Display

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Documented Proof — My Public Buy Call

My public Facebook buy call - Buy Maithan Alloys as much as you can (BSE 590078)... CMP 66 (28 March 2014).

My public Facebook buy call — “Buy Maithan Alloys as much as you can (BSE 590078)… CMP 66” (28 March 2014).

I bought Maithan Alloys at a bonus-adjusted ₹33. It is a ferro-alloy producer — deeply cyclical, deeply unfashionable, the sort of stock growth investors sneer at. Today it trades near ₹965, a return of about 29 times. Here is why I bought a ‘boring metal’ company, and why it was one of the safest bets I ever made.

A low-cost leader with a fortress balance sheet

Maithan is one of India’s largest and lowest-cost producers of ferro and silico manganese — essential inputs for making steel — and it is heavily export-oriented with captive power to control its costs. In a commodity business, the lowest-cost producer with the strongest balance sheet wins every cycle: it survives the downturns that kill weaker rivals and harvests the upturns. That is precisely the profile I want in a cyclical.

The fundamental strengths that made me buy

  • Bought below book value. The shares have traded well below their book value (~0.7×) on a single-digit P/E — deep value, with tangible assets protecting the downside.
  • A fortress balance sheet. Almost debt-free with a large cash and treasury pile — the war chest that lets it outlast every rival through the cycle.
  • Genuine cost leadership. Among the lowest-cost producers in the industry, with captive power — the single most important edge in any commodity business.
  • Real, sizeable profits. FY26 revenue of ~₹2,173 crore and net profit of ~₹441 crore — this is a serious, profitable industry leader, not a penny cyclical.
  • A dividend that pays you to wait. A steady dividend rewards patience while the market eventually recognises the value.

Why deep value with safety wins

The beauty of Maithan was the asymmetry: I was buying a cash-rich, low-cost industry leader for less than the value of its own assets. The downside was cushioned by tangible book value and a mountain of cash; the upside was a full commodity up-cycle and the eventual re-rating of a business the market had written off as “just a cyclical.” When the odds are stacked like that, you buy — and you wait.

Don’t take my word for it — it’s on the public record

My original buy call on Maithan Alloys, at ₹33 after adjusting for its 1:1 bonus, is documented on my public Facebook profile. I bought it when “ferro alloys” was a phrase that made investors change the subject.

“In a commodity business, the lowest-cost producer with the strongest balance sheet doesn’t just survive the cycle — it owns it.”

The lesson for you

Maithan is my reminder that safety and huge upside are not opposites. A cash-rich, low-cost leader bought below book value gives you both: a protected downside and a wide-open upside. The market’s fear of ‘cyclicals’ is exactly what let me buy a fortress at a discount.

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Disclaimer: This article is a personal account of my own past investment decision, shared for educational purposes only. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell this or any stock at current prices. All return figures are calculated to recent market prices and adjusted for stock splits and bonuses; past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. Equity investments are subject to market risks. Please do your own research or consult your financial adviser before investing.

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Manish Goel
Manish Goel is a Chartered Accountant, SEBI-registered Investment Advisor, and founder of Multibagger Shares. A full-time value investor since 2010, he has helped thousands of investors build long-term wealth through quality stock picking and disciplined fundamental analysis.
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